Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 96294.307571 101515.402845 106732.934683 112334.653681 118175.074574 124081.286365 130501.921874
2025-10-26 87102.141049 95033.595441 103178.266437 112156.506777 121765.224023 131729.622839 142833.279792
2025-11-02 80904.387788 90698.662466 100973.446867 112534.535013 125158.763754 138503.418412 153653.987495
2025-11-09 75861.691827 87015.270816 98928.010184 112563.188281 127701.707243 143957.376510 162695.416647
2025-11-16 72524.999640 84855.525221 98231.036942 113766.475419 131260.510847 150296.641225 172521.751968
2025-11-23 68918.489555 82121.127400 96647.526761 113746.369097 133249.054854 154726.035946 180089.177373
2025-11-30 66737.503080 80834.922095 96544.037290 115255.727776 136841.020333 160862.635743 189516.186617
2025-12-07 64516.672922 79358.234481 96094.790275 116252.315636 139751.321720 166158.056180 197948.189730
2025-12-14 61949.354495 77342.137526 94900.525276 116273.425890 141440.384541 169983.610024 204646.468567
2025-12-21 59781.747676 75692.250503 94038.405055 116593.561752 143402.523074 174070.062136 211614.535550
2025-12-28 58539.254514 75080.192454 94342.718543 118240.045254 146886.531631 179911.081068 220636.006722
2026-01-04 57200.676913 74284.797239 94370.803368 119508.047636 149887.228724 185169.661897 228981.190739
2026-01-11 55617.569512 73146.815659 93955.807873 120227.236720 152237.140706 189689.405486 236516.792822
2026-01-18 53866.604447 71738.546193 93158.059420 120435.432918 153938.735672 193423.482784 243125.654359
2026-01-25 52366.042336 70586.334042 92624.358249 120922.479780 155945.945704 197507.071196 250157.179227
2026-02-01 50743.178137 69221.363168 91774.754541 120971.584136 157379.282106 200874.761445 256318.873835
2026-02-08 49803.334906 68690.304391 91935.109711 122252.073660 160315.745167 206068.504311 264719.427207
2026-02-15 48311.356962 67397.615870 91090.962800 122231.632474 161605.451905 209230.999040 270635.747910
2026-02-22 47638.207468 67142.623450 91542.526293 123832.749358 164916.257228 214887.213078 279645.531374
2026-03-01 46760.007831 66586.862918 91582.805870 124889.716787 167531.981262 219686.892020 287618.546114
2026-03-08 45474.247658 65451.932564 90840.809939 124912.113287 168814.222490 222816.339198 293519.962287
2026-03-15 44384.347891 64545.131124 90365.165669 125251.612557 170481.173201 226418.831234 300019.239740
2026-03-22 43933.748064 64481.369526 90978.649689 126997.519495 173950.588471 232299.380547 309407.948683